Proposing a Crisis Management Model for Sales in Iran’s Banking Industry (Case Study: Private Commercial Banks)

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 PhD. Candidate, Department of Crisis Management, Shahid Ashrafi Isfahani University, Isfahan, Iran.

2 Assistant Prof., Department of Management, University of Isfahan, Isfahan, Iran.

3 Associate Prof., Department of Marketing Management and Business Development, Faculty of Business Management, College of Management, University of Tehran, Iran.

10.22059/jibm.2024.364494.4646

Abstract

Objective
Macroeconomic shocks place significant pressure on banking systems and are among the most common causes of financial crises. Such crises may arise from a combination of national economic and political conditions, as well as social dynamics and internal structural weaknesses within the banking system. The costs of such financial crises and their significant impact on real production in many crisis-affected countries require defining and classifying the types of banking crises and finding effective triggers in every banking crisis. Finally, providing banking crisis management solutions is essential. This study sought to address the following research questions: What constitutes a sales crisis in Iran’s banking system? And how can this crisis be effectively managed within Iran’s banking industry—particularly in private commercial banks—through the identification of key factors contributing to the sales crisis?
 
Methodology
This study employed a mixed-methods research design. To identify the factors influencing the banking sales crisis, purposive sampling was used to select individuals from the banking community who possess extensive knowledge and expertise in the subject area. Semi-structured interviews were conducted with 15 professionals from the banking sector, including branch managers, marketing managers, research and development managers, public relations managers, and corporate banking managers from private commercial banks. The adequacy of the qualitative sample size was ensured through theoretical sampling, continuing until data saturation was achieved. The identified factors were then synthesized into a final model using Structural-Interpretive Modeling (ISM).
 
Findings
The drivers affecting the bank sales crisis were extracted in the form of nine main themes, 20 sub-themes, and 57 concepts. The findings revealed that weak human capital, insufficient organizational development, and unfavorable political and economic conditions are the most influential factors contributing to the banking sales crisis. A four-level model was developed, identifying international restrictions, new tax regulations, the economic crisis, and domestic economic challenges as key influencing factors in the banking sales crisis in the country.
 
Conclusion
Managing the sales crisis involves three stages. In the pre-crisis stage, preventive cooperation from the government in the economic sector is essential. During the crisis, effective control can be achieved through positive government intervention, support from the central bank, management of alternative financial markets, updating business models, and technological upgrades. In the post-crisis phase, implementing effective measures in collaboration with the sales crisis management team is critical to preventing weaknesses in banking products and services, mitigating social concerns, restoring public trust, addressing unmet customer needs, and strengthening customer retention within the banking industry.

Keywords

Main Subjects


 
Abolhasni, A. &  Hasni Moghadam, R. (2008). Investigating the types of risk and its management methods in the banking system without usurpation in Iran. Islamic Economy, 8(30), 145-172. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/99688/fa. (in Persian)
Adelopo, I., Lloydking, R. & Tauringana, V. (2018). Determinants of bank profitability before, during, and after the financial crisis. International Journal of Managerial Finance, 14(4), 378-398.
Ahmadian, A. & Kianvand, M. (2014). Identifying factors affecting the probability of bank raids. Economic research and policies, 71(22). (in Persian)
Asgharpour, M.J. (2003). Group decision making and game theory with an "operations research" approach. Tehran: University of Tehran Printing and Publishing Institute.
(in Persian)
Ba Khoda, M. & Afshari, Z. (2009). The effect of explicit deposit insurance system on the occurrence of banking crises (in developing countries). Monetary and Banking Research, 1(1), 25-56. (in Persian)
Bartoletto, S., Chiarini, B., Marzano, E. & Piselli, P. (2019). Banking crises and business cycle: evidence for Italy (1861-2016). Journal of Financial Economic Policy, 11(1), 34-61.
Brown, S., Demetriou, D. & Theodossiou, P. (2018). Banking crisis in Cyprus: Causes, consequences and recent developments. Multinational finance journal, 22(1/2), 63-118.
Creswell, J.W. & Miller, D.L. (2000) Determining Validity in Qualitative Inquiry. Theory into Practice, 39, 124-130. http://dx.doi.org/10.1207/s15430421tip3903_2
Davis, E. P. & Karim, D. (2008). Comparing early warning systems for banking crises. Journal of Financial stability, 4(2), 89-120.
Guba, E.G. & Lincoln, Y.S., 1989, Fourth generation evolution. Newbury Park, CA: Sage.
Hartmann, N. N. & Lussier, B. (2020). Managing the sales force through the unexpected exogenous COVID-19 crisis. Industrial Marketing Management, 88, 101-111.
Kvale, S. (1996). Interview Views: An Introduction to Qualitative Research Interviewing. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications.
Laeven, L. & Valencia, F. (2013). Systemic banking crises database. IMF Economic Review, 61(2), 225-270.
Levieuge, G., Lucotte, Y. & Pradines-Jobet, F. (2021). The cost of banking crises: does the policy framework matter? Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, 110, 102290
Levine, R., Lin, C. & Xie, W. (2018). Corporate resilience to banking crises: The roles of trust and trade credit. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 53(4), 1441-1477.
Lu, W. & Swisher, J. (2020). A comparison of bank and credit union growth around the financial crisis. American Journal of Business, 35(1), 25-44.
Lussier, B. & Hartmann, N. N. (2017). How psychological resourcefulness increases salesperson's sales performance and the satisfaction of their customers: Exploring the mediating role of customer-oriented behaviors. Industrial Marketing Management, 62, 160-170.
Mahin Aslaniya, N., Salmani, B., Fallahi, F. & Asgharpour, H. (2019), Investigating the effect of currency crisis on the dynamics of gross domestic product: a panel generalized quadratic approach, Quarterly Journal of Applied Economic Theory, 7 (1), 185-210.
(in Persian)
McKinsey Global Banking Annual Review (2020). A test of resilience: Banking through the crisis, and beyond, 10 version, December 2020.
Mishkin, F. (1992). Anatomy of Financial Crisis. Journal of Evolutionary Economy,  2, 115-130.
Moshiri, S. & Nadali, M. (2012). Identifying the effective factors in the banking crisis in Iran's economy. Economic Review, 13(48), 1-27. (in Persian)
Poloz, S. (2020). Monetary policy in unknowable times. Eric J. Hanson Memorial Lecture, University of Alberta25.
Ruza, C., de la Cuesta-González, M. & Paredes-Gazquez, J. (2019). Banking system resilience: an empirical appraisal. Journal of Economic Studies, 46(6), 1241-1257.
Saif Elahi Anar, N. & Ghasemi Hamdani, I. (2022). The impact of market risk management and commercialization risk on new service development performance. Iranian Rubber Industry, 26(104), 63-73. (in Persian)
Wilms, P., Swank, J. & de Haan, J. (2018). Determinants of the real impact of banking crises: A review and new evidence. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 43, 54-70.
Yazdani, M., Dargahi, H. & Nikzad, M. (2016). Evaluation of production losses caused by monetary crises and the role of central bank intervention in emerging economies, Shahid Beheshti University Economics and Modeling Quarterly, 8 (29), 64- 43. (in Persian)